The beginning of sports betting takes you out of the peach blossom circle

Betting Baccarat Happy Lottery Sports Betting Roulette Blackjack Strategy Slot Machine Texas Hold'em Strategy Tips Strategy
Post Reply
Bookmaker
Posts: 5734
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2022 9:04 am

The beginning of sports betting takes you out of the peach blossom circle

Post by Bookmaker »

I roughly divide the market into four stages according to time. One is the preliminary reference market, such as the reference market opened by Ao Cai on Monday for the Big Five. At this time, the market is opened by the trader based on his own experience on the current situation of the two sides. The most fundamental performance is not accepting bets. It is often very different from the official betting market. The second is the initial betting market, which I define as the first time the bookmaker is officially betting. Three betting peak handicap. As the game time gets closer and closer, funds gradually pour in, and bookmakers collect more game news. At this time, the market begins to adjust the changes in funds. Fourth, the spot market, the spot market does not have a clear concept of time, which is roughly about 15 minutes on the spot. At this time, the banker has basically collected most of the player's chips, and the banker's confidence in the game in the non-margin game is generally already in his heart. What to do at this point is how to maximize profits, such as adjusting the winner's water level. Such as our common lift plate. Large and small village shipments are also usually at this time.

Through the above, it is not difficult to find that the initial participation market only has reference value, while the betting peak market and spot market, because the changes are affected by the dealer's confidence in the game and funds, it is difficult to truly analyze the dealer's intention. . This is also the main reason why ordinary friends report that the market changes are ugly. For example, to adjust the water level in a period, you need to first judge whether it is a normal trend or a market maker. And what we have to do is to judge the intention of the dealer, so what is disturbing us here? Yes, the impact of funds on handicap movements. Then there is a kind of handicap that is very pure. That's what I'm talking about as a bet.

Obviously, the first betting market opened by the bookmaker. At this point, the market has begun to accept bets, so the dealer must have a basic view of the game. Will not rashly accept the bet at the opening, then the market can reflect the result of the game at this time, and at this time the bet has just started, and the dealer has not yet adjusted the market for the funds. Therefore, the size of the handicap at this time can basically be considered to be based on the cognition of confidence in the game. (Of course, a small number of games will be subject to on-the-spot insider changes, which will not be discussed here) and for this. He can often take us out of the peach blossom barrier of the betting peak and spot markets. Let's gather some examples to see the magical effect of betting on the initial offer.

Howard Gauss 0.925 tied by half Utrecht 0.9256

This is a game in the 16th round of the Eredivisie. After being promoted, Howard Gauss has 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in 15 games. 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at home. In the past six games, Feiyannuo has only one win, 1 to 7, and three consecutive defeats. And Utrecht has 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in 15 games. The away games have three wins, two draws and two losses, and the recent six games have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

At first glance, the home team is not a rival of the old strong team Utrecht. It's just that the European loses the customer to win 2.30 Aocai to open Utrecht and let the draw in the water. All are very reasonable. Utrecht is not eligible to let the hemisphere away. Therefore, it is impossible to conclude that Utrecht will win only from the Australian plate and the European loss. But this one sees the first bet of *. The dealer's intention was immediately clear. Comparing the strengths and reputations of the two sides. It is a fact that the visiting team has less than half of the handicap, but at least it should be a draw. It is also clear that players' betting psychology is biased towards the upper market. And the market opened by * International at the noon opening is indeed a tie for Utrecht by 0.75 water, regardless of the water level here. A tie is definitely not going to work. Because the betting attitude of the two sides is too different. The tie half game is the most popular in the upper game, but it is barely reasonable after all, but the tie game player has no intention of going to the blogger team to win the game, and *International dares to open the tie at this time. Absolutely unscrupulous indulgence on the plate. Later, at 18:00 in the afternoon, it also rose to half level, which is also because it is only natural that the listing is popular. As long as he dares to bet with a tie in the front, you can't care about what changes after the water level. As long as there is no change on the spot, the visiting team is generally unbeatable. The end result is the same. Both sides draw. Although the home team did not win, the bet was tied in the initial set* International has shown that the visiting team must not win the game. Let's look at a more accurate initial attitude.

REC Huawick 0.90 draw with Verdis 0.906

This is a Dutch Toto Cup qualifying play-off. After the end of this season, REC Huawick has 7 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at home, and Vidis has 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses away. The theoretical handicap of the home team can be tied, but the key is that the home team's current situation is extremely poor and they have lost six consecutive losses. Since 2002, the track record has only won the opponent once, so although Kaiping did not think highly of the home team. But there is forgiveness. Ao Cai's initial draw was 0.825 water and went directly to 90 water on the spot, with unknown intentions. The host and guest wins in Europe are basically the same. It is also difficult to draw a conclusion, and a tie is a dilemma. But if you look at the international trend, it becomes easier. *The initial bet opened by the international noon is the home team handicap. If it is a tie because the visiting team does not have the possibility of handicap, then a tie is also the best choice for the bookmaker if he is not optimistic about the upper hand. Therefore, it is not easy to draw a conclusion in a tie, but if it is a tie. I think the home team must be undefeated, because the home team's track record is too poor, and if it is a draw, it will lose the game. No one wants to win. * International initially dares to open a draw and half bet, although it is high water, then the intention can only be to make a draw so as not to take the game, and the second is to have confidence in winning the upper game. No matter what kind of idea it is, the result is that the home team is sitting and hoping to win. And after the same withdrawal, you don't need to worry about it anymore. Because the trend of the next market is bound to be caused by funds. Therefore, after watching the initial betting of *, the conclusion is that the home team is undefeated. After that, the progress of the game was good enough. The home team was 0-1 when I played with the home team. At 0-2, I believed in my own judgment and chased the home team. The result was 0-4. I also almost believe that my judgment is not wrong. I even thought that *International should have made a mistake, but in the end, it was REC Huayu Ke who chased four goals in a row. This cleverly avoids the trouble of watching European losses and the subtle handicap of the Australian market. Draw a conclusion with the betting initial offer. In the end, the home team was killed without compensation. Let's take a look at another drastic handicap move.

Yataqi 1.18 a ball and a half 0.72 Caffenburg;

The battle for promotion to the Olympic Second Division is heating up. Before this round, a total of four teams had a chance. Yataki performed extremely well with his all-out flutter. In the past six rounds, he won five and one draw. The upper bound runner-up Caffenburg has performed poorly this season. Fortunately, they are in good shape recently, with six wins, three wins, two draws and one loss. The theoretical handicap is enough for the home team to let one goal. However, due to the problem of fighting spirit in recent rounds, the handicap of the top four teams is bigger than usual. The Sands Handicap opened with one ball and a half of low water at the beginning, and the market situation was good, but then the water level went up all the way. On the spot, it was as high as 1.18 water. You can think of this trend as buying in the next market, or it may be that the bookmaker reduces the next price. Intention is still difficult to judge. But again, let's look at the initial betting. The initial price of Sands betting is one ball and one half of low water. And Kafenbao's away game is only half one, and the last round against the Vienna youth who ranked in the same strength is only half one. So a ball of low water is absolutely super large. And careful friends will see the *handicap and will find that the handicap opened at the initial time turned out to be a ball and a half bet. This is completely the strength of the strong Austrian team, so the two companies have strong confidence in the home team in the early stage of betting. We mentioned in the previous article that if there is no accident in a game, the banker's attitude towards the game will not easily change. Then the initial attitude of the betted handicap is consistent with the latter. And it's not surprising that the Qiuban or Sands' Yiqiuqiuqiu is the favorite under the analysis. So I believe that the initial market is bold to go to this ultra-high water. As a result, the home team swept 6-0. * The ball and a half were also pierced.

It is not difficult to see from a comprehensive perspective that the above magic uses of the initial betting market are inseparable from two basic principles. One is that the initial betting market has been bet, which means that the dealer dares to accept the hot and cold at this time.

And the attitude of the bookmakers to the game will not be easily changed if they are not on the spot insider. Second, the initial market is not affected by the adjustment of funds at this time, so the meaning of the market itself is the advantage of both parties. And got rid of the peach blossom formation that is inextricably linked to the normal adjustment of funds or the dealer.
Post Reply