What's the difference between a novice and an expert in sports betting?

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Bookmaker
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What's the difference between a novice and an expert in sports betting?

Post by Bookmaker »

Beginners of sports betting think that it is enough to know the team's game status, scoring efficiency, etc., regardless of the odds; experts don't care about the team's recent performance or how the team is playing, they don't watch the game, they just look at the handicap. To be able to understand the game in depth! Do you agree with my statement?

Player: I think it is unreliable to just look at the handicap

Player: The handicap is almost the same. If you don't know anything about the team, would you dare to play?

Player: After reaching a certain level, it is true that only the handicap is seen, and only the handicap can be seen, and the rest are floating clouds. It hurts today, say a few more words

The market includes everything, and the odds are opened only by the combination of all factors. Each factor occupies a certain proportion. For example, the fundamental factors of a certain game account for 50% of the market. You analyze the fundamentals, I feel very confident, and then look at the market. If the opening of the market is favorable for the fundamentals, then the proportion of this fundamental factor will be invisibly magnified under your psychological suggestion, exceeding 50%. This is how mistakes are made. , If the bookmaker reuses this fundamental, then the error is inevitable.

Of course, this is not to say that fundamentals and other factors are not important. There is no way to study these. There are many research directions. The old man has also seen people who specialize in these and have a high level. However, in this direction, the workload is huge, and it is easy to be misled. Too big, not an efficient and labor-saving lasting direction.

Handicap is indeed a good direction. The old man believes that this is the only feasible way out. Of course, the initial stage of research is much more difficult and confusing than the fundamentals and other research directions. It’s easy. It takes a lot of hard work to study the market. However, there is a chance that the market will change from quality to quantity. It’s like a breakthrough, or epiphany. It's an extremely simple thing, but 99.9% of the people in this accumulation have fallen. As for fundamentals and other research directions, I cannot see a breakthrough.

Player: The landlord's point of view is estimated to be the opinion of the majority, and most people are estimated to lose money. Does the landlord think this view is right or wrong?

Player: I can tell you that you need to look at both. But the fundamentals are not only the winning percentage, the number of goals scored, the number of goals conceded, etc., but also the team's state, technical tactics, recent offensive players, defensive players' injuries, players on the field, etc. You are generally in a small league. There is no information available, so only by playing the top leagues can you really see the so-called fundamentals. As for the handicap, don't worry, you will feel it if you play this thing too much. First, ask yourself whether it is suitable to gamble, it is difficult to change people's mentality; second, understand the entire league, the situation of each team (if you like to play the game, focus on the strong teams), the top leagues are broadcast in China , you can use the video and watch it, go to the leagues one by one to find out. Third, study the odds and handicap. In fact, betting ultimately depends on the strength of the teams, but why do strong teams lose, mainly because of on-the-spot performance, uneven personnel, weather and other unforeseen circumstances before the game (except match-fixing, generally speaking in the top leagues) There will be less match-fixing), so it is recommended that you only play off the ground in a single game, and it is a live broadcast game. I have a friend who only plays the Premier League and the Bundesliga and makes money every season. Playing ball is for making money, not for the name of a master. No one understands you on the Internet. If you put yourself out and become famous and become a master, you can still make money by shooting advertisements and attending events, but I don’t think you will. To be realistic, you can still make money!

Player: It is theoretically true, but often the fundamental information we most need to know is something we do not understand. Even a few giant teams that have been exposed by the media may have excess information and different information interfere with each other. Therefore, players will lament that fundamental research cannot see a breakthrough.

Player: Everything you said has been included in the odds. There is no way to study the fundamentals. In terms of fundamentals, whether it is theory or practice, you cannot be more comprehensive, profound and thorough than the bookmaker. For that alone, you are sure to die. Using fundamentals to analyze a game is like playing hide-and-seek with the bookmaker blindfolded. Your chances of catching are zero.

Someone upstairs said that a lot of people are more interested in playing small leagues. This also shows the infeasibility of the fundamentals from another aspect. There is a lot of information in the big leagues, or someone upstairs said that there is too much information in the big leagues. Too much information not only makes players Dilemma, and let the dealer confuse the players arbitrarily. What is the use of the so-called fundamentals, no, what is the use for your players, the dealers you know know it, and the dealers you don't know know it, or that sentence, everything is already included in the odds, You use a fraction of what you know to look for support in the odds, and how do you know the support wasn't given to you on purpose by the bookmaker. And there is little information in the small league, why would some people be more keen to play the small league, for example, this old man, this shows that the so-called information is not only useless but also harmful. If you understand this problem, many problems will be solved. This article is from the big winner every day

Again, everything is in the odds, the banker and the player's profit methods and means are in the odds.

The theory has been in decline for several years, and no one has thought about the reason.

Player: Superficial, you will definitely lose if you play like this. Generally, the odds of big events are controlled. Only the unbalanced ones have high odds, so it is easy to win.

Players: Novices like to bet on big games, experts like to play small games
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